Applovin Corp Stock Performance
| APP Stock | USD 461.45 -15.94 -3.34% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.9, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Applovin Corp will likely underperform. At this point, Applovin Corp has a negative expected return of -0.54%. Please make sure to confirm Applovin Corp's the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Applovin Corp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, Applovin Corp generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Even with fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -7.70 | Five Day Return -5.85 | Year To Date Return -22.79 | Ten Year Return 632.19 | All Time Return 632.19 |
1 | Disposition of 728 shares by Vasily Shikin of Applovin Corp at 536.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/16/2026 |
2 | Deutsche Bank Bullish on AppLovin After Sharp Pullback Following Project Genie Announcement | 02/13/2026 |
3 | Analysts Bullish On AppLovin Corporation Outlook Following Impressive Results | 02/19/2026 |
4 | Assessing AppLovin Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness And Strong Growth Expectations | 02/24/2026 |
5 | Disposition of 295 shares by Webb Maynard G Jr of Applovin Corp subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/02/2026 |
6 | AppLovin Rating Increased to Hold at Arete Research | 03/03/2026 |
7 | Adjust Tripledot Studios Migrates More Than 30 Live Games to Adjust Without Disruption | 03/04/2026 |
8 | AppLovin Valuation Tested As SEC Probe And App Store Rules Evolve | 03/05/2026 |
9 | Wall Street Thinks AppLovin Stock Is a Buy. Heres Why I Dont. | 03/06/2026 |
10 | Is AppLovin Corporation The Best Performing SP 500 Stock in the Last 2 Years | 03/09/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 741.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 402.8 M |
Applovin Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 71,698 in Applovin Corp on December 11, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $-25,553 from holding Applovin Corp or given up 35.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Applovin Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 5.9633% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 53% of stocks are less volatile than Applovin, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Historical analysis shows that Applovin Stock price tends to gravitate toward a long-run average, consistent with the well-known mean reversion effect. While this is useful for forecasting, some stocks are persistently mispriced, often reflecting additional risk factors that justify the observed spread.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 461.45 | 90 days | 461.45 | about 79.69 |
Based on our quantitative model, the chance of Applovin Corp moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.69 (This distribution for Applovin Corp illustrates how likely Applovin Stock is to reach various price levels over 90 days).
Applovin Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Applovin Corp
Investors analyzing Applovin Corp can draw on many different stock market forecasting techniques. While no approach eliminates uncertainty, comparing the outputs of diverse models helps investors calibrate expectations and make more informed decisions in the face of market unpredictability.The mean reversion framework for Applovin Corp is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
Applovin Corp Risk Indicators
Investors in the stock market have faced considerable volatility over the past two decades. Applovin Corp has reflected this environment with periods of sharp price declines and strong recoveries. Tracking Applovin Corp's fundamental risk indicators and adjusting hedges accordingly can help protect portfolios that include Applovin Corp.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3072 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 118.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.055 |
Applovin Corp Alerts and Suggestions
Alerts for Applovin Corp are designed to surface the most relevant stock developments for investors. Applovin Corp notifications flag significant changes in market conditions, fundamentals, and technical signals that may require action.| Applovin Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Applovin Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Applovin Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AppLovin Corporation The Best Performing SP 500 Stock in the Last 2 Years |
Applovin Corp Price Density Drivers
Price movements in Applovin Corp are influenced by the tension between bullish and bearish market participants. When short-sellers increase pressure, long holders often reassess their positions, driving volatility higher. Key market indicators are shown below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 342 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Applovin Corp Fundamentals Growth
Applovin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Applovin Corp, and Applovin Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Applovin Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 2.13 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.4 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.61 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.77 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 175.51 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 307.07 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 574.62 X | |||
| Price To Book | 81.72 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 31.89 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.48 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 4.82 B | |||
| EBITDA | 4.35 B | |||
| Net Income | 3.43 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 951.56 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 2.57 X | |||
| Total Debt | 3.54 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.73 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.82 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.31 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.97 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.03 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 174.8 B | |||
| Total Asset | 7.26 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 1.74 B | |||
| Working Capital | 3.1 B | |||
| Current Asset | 165.31 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 147.56 M | |||
About Applovin Corp Performance Analysis
Applovin Corp performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Consistency across periods improves confidence in structural behavior. Applovin Corp shows ROE of 2.13%, ROA of 39.53%.
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Applovin Corp is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Applovin Corp may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.